Tag "Delphi method" – News – UNESCO Chair on Future Studies – HSE University

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Events

Dec 2 – Dec 4

IV International Symposium "SCIENCE DIPLOMACY IN A MULTIPOLAR WORLD: SCIENCE. DIALOGUE. TRUST"

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Article

Assessing Sustainable Development Through Wavelet-Quantile Based Analysis: Comparative Insights From Four Developed Countries

Çelik A., Veselitskaya N., Damrah S.

Sustainable Development. 2026. Vol. 34. No. S2. P. 1274-1301.

Article

Human capital transformation under the influence of global trends

Anna Grebenyuk, Milshina Y., Sergey Shashnov et al.

Foresight. 2026. Vol. 28. No. 1. P. 45-65.

Article

Evaluating Delphi survey accuracy in transportation: Evidence from Japanese technology foresight

Niyazov S., Maibakh O., Alexei Sukharev et al.

Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2026. Vol. 224.

Book chapter

Challenges and Risks to the Inclusion of AI for Environmental Applications

Aleksandrova I., Milshina Y.

In bk.: Artificial Intelligence Enabled Real Time Environmental Monitoring. Springer, 2026. Ch. 10. P. 199-229.

Book chapter

Artificial Intelligence and Environmental Decision Support Systems

Daria Gribkova, Milshina Y.

In bk.: Artificial Intelligence Enabled Real Time Environmental Monitoring. Springer, 2026. P. 231-252.

Book chapter

Artificial Intelligence for Urban Planning and Building Smart Cities

Demekhina A., Milshina Y.

In bk.: Artificial Intelligence Enabled Real Time Environmental Monitoring. Springer, 2026. P. 253-281.

Article

The critical minerals dilemma: Rethinking energy transition strategies in Africa

Kilinc-Ata N., Liliana Proskuryakova.

Resources Policy. 2025. Vol. 111.

Article

New energy-rich or still energy-poor? Evidence from selected African countries

Kilinc-Ata N., Liliana Proskuryakova.

Utilities Policy. 2025. Vol. 97.

Article

Modeling Hybrid Renewable Microgrids in Remote Northern Regions: A Comparative Simulation Study

Kilinc-Ata N., Proskuryakova L. N.

Energies. 2025. Vol. 18. No. 21.

Article

The role of resource scarcity in shaping the green energy mix in the largest rare-earth metal trading nations

Barut A., Proskuryakova L. N., Yakutkina V. et al.

Renewable Energy. 2026. Vol. 267.

All publications

Delphi Paradox: New Study Showed Disagreements Intensification Under Expert Surveys

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Researchers from the Higher School of Economics (HSE) have systematically criticized one of the pillars of global technology foresight — the Delphi method. Their study ‘Biases in expert judgements in large-scale S&T Delphi Surveys: How to cope with them?’, published in 2025 in ‘Technological Forecasting and Social Change’ journal, shows that classical expert surveys not only do not guarantee objective consensus achieving but often implicitly reinforce bias and dispersion of opinions. Researchers have proposed supplementing the Delphi survey methodology with built-in “protective mechanisms” against potential distortions.

Research & Expertise research projects Reporting an event HSE Development Programme until 2030 Delphi method Expert surveys Foresight for STI

February 05